NARRATIVES
Opportunities to generate new challenges from emerging signals and storylines.
6
Active narratives
+47%
Stake velocity 7d
“BTC $120K”
Hottest topic
“FED PIVOT”
Most divisive
TIMEFRAMECATEGORY
CRYPTO · PRICE TARGET▲ +312% velocity
BTC $120k — does it crack before March?
The biggest pool of the week. ETF flows + halving math vs macro tightening. 14 wallets staking, 4 sides converging. Average stake: 18 GEN, up from 6 GEN a week ago.
BTC breaks $120k by March 3124 GEN
BTC stays under $115k through Q118 GEN
BTC $130k before halving12 GEN
14 wallets · 234 GEN at stakeEXPLORE NARRATIVE →
AI · MODEL RELEASE▲ +142% velocity
GPT-5 ships before Q3
Tightening claim window. 6 wallets, mostly open invitations.
GPT-5 announced before June8 GEN
GPT-5 GA before September12 GEN
6 wallets · 38 GEN at stake→
POLITICS · MACRO▲ +88% velocity
Fed cuts before Q3
Most divisive narrative this week. Sentiment evenly split.
Fed cuts ≥25bps before July30 GEN
No cuts in H122 GEN
8 wallets · 86 GEN at stake→
SPORTS · F1▲ +56% velocity
Verstappen's title defense
McLaren momentum vs. RB engineering. Season-long thread building.
Verstappen WDC 2026128 GEN
McLaren constructors42 GEN
9 wallets · 218 GEN at stake→
CRYPTO · ETF FLOWS▼ -18% velocity
ETH ETF approval & inflows
Cooling off after last week's regulatory clarity. Pool dispersed.
ETH ETF daily > 50M6 GEN
ETF cumulative > 5B by EOY8 GEN
4 wallets · 22 GEN at stake→
AI · CAPABILITY▲ +204% velocity
AGI on a benchmark
Specific, narrow benchmarks people will stake against. Fastest growing.
Model wins chess blitz vs human GM4 GEN
90%+ on ARC-AGI before EOY6 GEN
3 wallets · 14 GEN at stake→